Predictions

In 2004, Alan Greenspan, then the chairman, said the rise in home values was ‘not enough in our judgment to raise major concerns.’ In

Oil’s sharp move up — prices have doubled in the past year — caught the world by surprise, including almost everyone involved in the

He seems uninterested in creative quality or innovation for its’ own sake, and absolutely without embarrassment about Fear Factor and Donald Trump and their

Barron’s magazine features another classic case of how hard it is to pick winners and losers. Twice a year, the magazine gathers together some

In 1988 the leading analyst in the industry said we weren’t going to grow anymore. Since then, we’ve gone from $150M to $40B.

But the lesson of the past few years is that the industry is notoriously bad at gauging demand for its services. The two most

Men in Black took its studio, Sony, by such surprise that none of the actors had been signed to a sequel. It took five

When the first Harry Potter book was optioned by Warner Brothers, Lorenzo di Bonaventura, the studio’s young production chief, was criticized by his then

Gone with the Wind turned out to be a giant hit in 1939, but along the way it almost destroyed the fortunes of its