Still, we are imperfect creatures living in an uncertain world. If we make a prediction and it goes badly, we can never really be certain whether it was our fault or not, whether our model was flawed or we just got unlucky. The closest approximation to a solution is to achieve a state of equanimity with the noise and the signal, recognizing that both are an irreducible part of our universe, and devote ourselves to appreciating each for what it is. Silver, Nate. The Signal and the Noise (p. 328). Penguin Publishing Group. Kindle Edition.


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